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mate wrote:Well, Hillary has come back from the dead, according to our most accurate media. It is amazing how the pundits speak with such determinism, as if they had foreseen all of this.
Last time it was supposed to be Howard Dean.
Eugene Berkovich wrote:mate wrote:Well, Hillary has come back from the dead, according to our most accurate media. It is amazing how the pundits speak with such determinism, as if they had foreseen all of this.
Last time it was supposed to be Howard Dean.
And it should have been. Why Iowa primary is so freaking important? because in this country we're too impatient to have a political drama play out. As soon as one candidate wins the very first significant vote, he is pronounced an eventual winner and every effort is put into attacking his opponents who were left standing.
Dean had a much closer New Hampshire primary than an iowa caucus in 2004. I wonder if the media did not make such a huge deal of the Dean Scream, would he not have won New Hampshire?
Leonid wrote:Anyway, will James Carville hack Obama to pieces? Opinions?
Will Mitt Romney recover?
Leonid wrote:Angry White Man
The bigoted past of Ron Paul.
http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html? ... 32a7da84ca
As for Mitt Romney, I still think this race on the republican side is wide open. I think Romney is doing well: he's finished second twice.
Leonid wrote:Falc
Re: Bradley Effect
The Jewish Bradley Effect
James Kirchick - 01.09.2008 - 15:00
Embarassed by its confident predictions of an Obama victory, the mainstream media these past few days has resurrected the supposed “Bradley Effect” as an explanation for why Barack Obama lost last night in New Hampshire. This political phenomenon is named after Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, who lost the 1982 California gubernatorial election despite a healthy lead (ranging from 9 to 22 percent in various polls) over his opponent. Some pundits have even argued that white voters told pollsters they were intent on supporting the black candidate but that deep-seated racism got the best of them upon pulling back the curtain.
A friend of mine has long been telling me that a similar sort of phenomenon occurs with Jewish voters. Being a Democrat is almost instinctive for American Jews; being a GOP supporter is akin to eating pastrami on white bread with mayonnaise. As Martin Peretz wrote in 2004, signaling his distaste for John Kerry:
Like many American Jews, I was brought up to believe that if I pulled the Republican lever on the election machine my right hand would wither and, as the Psalmist says, my tongue would cleave to the roof of my mouth.
Yet since 9/11, I’m convinced that a far larger proportion of Jews than the reported 25 percent voted Republican in 2004. These Jews–perfectly happy calling themselves Bill Clinton Democrats but more hawkish than a party now headed by Nancy Pelosi–don’t want to admit to anyone that they supported a Republican because everyone in their social circle would call them meshugeh. I imagine this is a topic about which John Podhoretz probably has something to say.
pramzan wrote:Leonid wrote:Angry White Man
The bigoted past of Ron Paul.
http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html? ... 32a7da84ca
Not good. I like Ron Paul. He has a lot of good ideas but if this is true, it's bad.
Why has this taken so long to be made public???
Leonid wrote:Yet since 9/11, I’m convinced that a far larger proportion of Jews than the reported 25 percent voted Republican in 2004. These Jews–perfectly happy calling themselves Bill Clinton Democrats but more hawkish than a party now headed by Nancy Pelosi–don’t want to admit to anyone that they supported a Republican because everyone in their social circle would call them meshugeh. I imagine this is a topic about which John Podhoretz probably has something to say.
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