by Falc on 29 Jan 2008, 01:03
Highlights from SC exit poll
by The Associated Press
Saturday January 26, 2008, 9:55 PM
Some highlights of data from exit polls conducted for The Associated Press and television networks in the South Carolina Democratic primary Saturday. All numbers are final.
More than half of the voters polled said the economy was the most important issue facing the country and that they were looking for a candidate who could bring about needed change.
A majority of Clinton supporters felt she criticized Obama unfairly.
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DIVIDED BY RACE
Black voters dominated the South Carolina primary and voted overwhelmingly for Barack Obama, with 78 percent supporting him. Nineteen percent of blacks voted for Hillary Rodham Clinton. While a quarter of whites voted for Obama, three-quarters of whites split their votes between the two white candidates, Clinton and John Edwards, voting 40 percent for Edwards and 36 percent for Clinton. Edwards' support came almost entirely from white voters.
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WOMEN: RACE OVER GENDER
In the historic battle that pitted a black man against a white woman, the question on many minds was how black women would vote. They went overwhelmingly for the black man, in the same eight in 10 proportions as black men. Nearly all the rest voted for Clinton.
Clinton wasn't even able to win a majority of white women, a group she split with 42 percent of the vote. Edwards won 36 percent of white women, while Obama won 22 percent of them. Edwards easily won among white men, getting 45 percent of their vote compared to 28 percent for Clinton and 27 percent for Obama.
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READY FOR A FIRST
Three in four voters said the country is ready to elect a black president, and about the same said the country is ready to elect a woman. Eighty-nine percent of Obama voters said the country is ready for a black president, but 61 percent of Clinton voters said the country is ready. Ninety-three percent of Clinton voters and 69 percent of Obama voters said the country is ready to elect a woman president.
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LOOKING FOR A CHANGE
Just over half the voters said they were looking for candidate who could bring about needed change, a group Obama won handily. Fourteen percent of voters said they were mostly looking for a candidate with experience, the only candidate quality that Clinton dominated. Edwards and Obama split the votes of those who want a candidate who cares about people like them, and Clinton and Obama split the votes of those few voters who were looking for a candidate who can win in November. Two-thirds of blacks say Obama is most electable, while more whites think Clinton is most electable.
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IT'S THE ECONOMY, AGAIN
Given three choices, 52 percent of voters said the economy was the most important issue facing the country, up from 38 percent in the New Hampshire primary in early January. Economy voters lined up behind the candidates in a similar fashion to the overall result, with Obama winning about half, Clinton coming in well behind and Edwards in third.
25 percent of voters said health care was the most important problem facing the country. Obama won their support by an even greater margin than he won economy voters, with Clinton getting just a quarter of their support. The war in Iraq was judged most important by only 19 percent of voters, and they also voted mostly for Obama.
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POLICY OR PERSONALITY?
Given the choice, 6 in 10 voters said the issues were most important to their vote, and they voted for Obama. Clinton did a little better among those who said leadership and personal qualities were most important, but Obama still won that group as well.
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LATE SHIFT TO EDWARDS?
A week of sniping between Clinton and Obama may have helped Edwards among whites. Half of those white voters who decided within the last week voted for Edwards, almost 20 points better than he did among those who decided earlier. But this late shift in support was not enough for Edwards to win convincingly among whites. Slightly fewer blacks said they made up their minds in the last three days, and eight in 10 late deciders who were black went to Obama.
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ATTACK!!!!!
After the contentious Democratic debate Monday night, 72 percent of Obama voters said Clinton had attacked Obama unfairly, and even 63 percent of Clinton voters said she had made unfair attacks. Most Clinton voters also said Obama had made unfair attacks against her, but just 44 percent of Obama supporters felt that way. Edwards voters were more likely than either of the other candidates' supporters to say Clinton and Obama attacked each other unfairly.
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BILL TO THE RESCUE?
It appears that Bill Clinton's campaigning for his spouse helped her in the state, but not enough to get her the win. Nearly six in 10 said former President Clinton's campaigning in the state was an important factor for them, including a quarter who called it very important. Blacks who said his campaigning was important were over 5 times more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton than those who said it wasn't important, although Obama still won most of those blacks who said it was an important factor. Clinton won among those whites who said Bill Clinton's campaigning was important, while Edwards won among those whites who said it wasn't important.
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From a poll of 1,905 voters conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International as voters left 35 precincts in South Carolina's Democratic primary. Margin of sampling error plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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