Iraq Unfolding

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Postby Robert on 01 Feb 2005, 14:19

This voting issue is an interesting topic for me. Americans living abroad can vote in US elections, correct? Is this fair?

I suppose it depends on the reasons that they are abroad (work for example).

Personally, I think it's baloney that a person who has emigrated to another country should have the right to vote in the country of their former residence.

Why should a person who doesn't live in the US have a say in what government and laws I have to live under and by? Similarly, why should I have the right to cast a vote in Croatian elections when I am not residing there? Why should I have say in how other people will live when it will not affect me?

And the reason Falc has brought this up now is because this is an issue that is news. If there were a situation in Italy or elsewhere and the same issue popped up, I'm fairly certain he would voice the same opinion.

This crap about diaspora voting has irked me for many years. If you want to live in a country, gain citizenship and vote. If you move elsewhere, YOU have forfieted your right to tell ME who will govern ME.
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Postby surnami on 01 Feb 2005, 17:53

Jarvis, a liberal who is not a reactionary, criticizes Angry Left bloggers who've responded to the election with silence or sneers:

Whether it's Kerry or any of these bloggers, it would be the grownup, mature, generous, humanistic, caring--yes, dare I say, liberal--thing to do to be glad that people who lived under tyranny are now giving birth to democracy.

Democracy isn't a right-or-left thing, folks. It's a right-and-left thing, remember?

Indeed. We'll admit that, like John Podhoretz, we feel vindicated by the success of Iraq's elections. We've been arguing for Iraq's liberation for three years now (and our colleagues at The Wall Street Journal for far longer), and it's nice to be proved right. But our more important emotions are happiness for the Iraqis and pride in our country for accomplishing this.

It's understandable that pessimists on the left would regret being proved wrong, and even that they would resent the credit that President Bush, a politician they loathe, rightly gets for it. But Jarvis is right: It takes a childish, malicious spirit to let these feelings swamp patriotism and sympathy for the liberated Iraqis.

Why does the antidemocratic left seem increasingly to dominate the Democratic Party--as exemplified by the recent antics of Ted Kennedy, John Kerry and Barbara Boxer? Mickey Kaus offers an intriguing theory:

Money. It used to be that at this stage, opposition party leaders would be making conciliatory noises in an attempt to please voters, and conservative or centrist noises in an attempt to please business lobbyists and PACs. But maybe the amount of money that can be raised over the Internet from Democratic true believers is now more important than PAC money. And if you want to draw a Dean-like share of this Web loot, you have to be ruthless in bashing Bush.

Of course, as Kerry found out, no matter how much cash you raise, you won't win an election unless you can persuade people to vote for you. The election this weekend was, among other things, a great achievement for America. If Democrats wish to renounce it, that's their prerogative, but it's hard to see why any American should vote for a party that doesn't want them to feel good about America.



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Postby Leonid on 01 Feb 2005, 18:46

"Iraq is safe now"

One minute he's shedding his crocodile tears for American soldiers losing their lives in Iraq, next minute "it's safe".

Very consistent, Falc.

"did you celebrate what was happening in Iraq?"

Why do I have to celebrate it? I didn't "celebrate" George Bush's win either. What kind of ridiculous question is this?

"You could care less about Iraqi's."

Try speaking for yourself.
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Postby .... on 01 Feb 2005, 20:31

Falc wrote:
I have a problem where we have created voting stations in the U.S. so that former Iraqi dissidents, who no longer have to stay here, can cast a ballot in the safety of our country while our boys and gals shed blood in their country. They feel great about participating in democracy from afar, in a very safe place, yet are not willing to actually fight for democracy in their own land. Don't get me started about all that is wrong with this picture.


I agree entirely. It's heartwarming that something good has become of this war, but I've also noticed Iraqis in Cardiff voting in the Iraq election and it seems a tad unfair. They don't live there and have no intention of returning (would you? Thought not, me neither). They are not subject to any Iraqi laws, so why should they vote and impinge their collective will on those brave enough to stay behind?

I'm sorry, but I hate this system of being able to vote in two countries. These Iraqis in America/UK won't go home. Why would they? If they still want to have a say in Iraqi politics they can go and live there.

It's American and British soliders that gave their lives for this, after all. The immigrants here (or there) did not lift a finger. They don't have to, but why should they vote there? For me, you're either Iraqi or you're American or British or whatever. They should choose one or the other, and vote (and live) there.

Surnami, why are you celebrating it btw? What did you do for Iraqi freedom? I did nothing but admittedly care little about Iraq and it's not worth a single life of a fellow citizen of mine or yours IMO.
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Postby Leonid on 01 Feb 2005, 21:54

Interesting parallels...I'm currently reading biography of Alexander of Macedon by Peter Green. Persians didn't terribly mind him as usurpator (no wonder, considering his military genius and prowess), but they were adamant denying him God-like status he was so openly soliciting.

To those who watched the film (I didn't and won't) Alexander really was a blonde:)

Overall, one of the best historical books I've ever read. Intellectual and easy reading at the same time.
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Postby Falc on 02 Feb 2005, 01:26

Leonid wrote:"Iraq is safe now"

One minute he's shedding his crocodile tears for American soldiers losing their lives in Iraq, next minute "it's safe".

Very consistent, Falc.


Come on Leo, you know I am one of the most sarcastic SOB's around here. Hey, it is not me going around saying that Iraqi's are free because they have democracy. I spent a few years mailing absentee ballots for general and state elections. I did so while serving my country, both here and on the other side of the world. But these dissidents, so happy to be so free, well let them fight for their own freedom. What can I say. I speak my mind. The images broadcasted over the weekeend of these dissidents taking part in the elections bothered me. The courageous ones in Iraq, good for them. But the ones here, forget about it.
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Postby Leonid on 02 Feb 2005, 01:49

Falc

OK, at least you're our SOB:)

Right now my heart is bleeding for a poor German lady who were told that if she doesn't take a job as prostitute her unemployment benefits would be cut. Or maybe I'm just sorry about the German Treasury's dire straits:)
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Postby surnami on 02 Feb 2005, 17:57

The Libs Dilemma



Of course, those who were against the war in Iraq are unlikely to admit to success, even in the face of overwhelming evidence. Having placed themselves in the untenable position of opposing whatever President Bush puts forward, they’ve have now been reduced to arguing against freedom. Talk about pitiful. The once mighty classic liberal now finds themselves, in effect, on the same side as tyrants and terrorists. Despite all their talk about the poor, beleaguered Iraqi people, their current disdain towards the freedom of said people exposes their true cynicism. If not for President Bush ousting Iraq’s former dictator and encouraging Iraqis towards self-determination, they would still be under the boot of Saddam Hussein, where apparently some would still prefer them.


http://www.chronwatch.com/content/contentDisplay.asp?aid=12770
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Postby surnami on 03 Feb 2005, 07:52

Image

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Postby barry schwarz on 03 Feb 2005, 09:00

Iraq is safe now?
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Postby Eugene Berkovich on 03 Feb 2005, 10:25

The thing that bothers me about the fairness (or luck thereof) of the Iraqi vote is that people in four provinces did not have a chance to vote. All four have a potential of being dominated by one block of parties and are a base of its power.

Would US elections be fair if the entire Northeast could not vote?

The Iraqi vote was almost as undemocratic as the one where Saddam got 99% of the vote. (Hell, at least then people knew who they were "voting" for! :) )
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Postby Felix K on 03 Feb 2005, 12:05

Would US elections be fair if the entire Northeast could not vote?


So you are saying that, because the Northeast could vote, the vote was indeed fair? Surnami will be glad to hear you admit this :wink:

BTW, would the elections be unfair if instead of the Northeast, the Midwest could not vote? :D
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Postby Leonid on 03 Feb 2005, 16:05

There is no such word in the leftist vocabulary as Midwest. They call it "flyover country". That's why they keep losing.

Oh Lord, grant our wishes and let them have Scream Dean as their chairman. Oops, I mean chair - this is politically correct term:)
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Postby surnami on 03 Feb 2005, 16:54

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

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Postby barry schwarz on 04 Feb 2005, 05:46

I can't shake the sense that the major media has given the same careful analysis of Iraq's elections that it did to claims of WMD (for which the New York Times apologised).

Scores of quotes from Iraqi officials, foreign officials, and, this time, thankfully, Iraqis at polling booths, but reporters were mostly embedded. They were sent to officially approved election booths protected by coalition forces. Very little independent field reporting occured. There is a gaping hole in the coverage and many reports of anomalies even from those reporters embedded, not to mention a major Sunni boycott or reluctance to risk voting does not inspire me to join hands with anyone saying elections were free and fair.

I'll probably be branded a recalcitrant anti-American, anti-Iraqi, gloom spreading pessimist, but I endured a preponderence of that kind of derision when I debated WMD, al Qaida relationship, 'mission accomplished', and the composition of Iraqi insurgency - and very few, maybe one or two, made open concession after so-called obvious facts were later shown to be false.

It seems to me that critical analysis of the elction issue has been majorly swept away by the fact of them occuring, collecting up a good many erstwhile war dissenters along the way.

If Iraqis can question the legitimacy and consequences of an election they've nevertheless participated in, I trust others can legitimately do the same.
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Postby Eugene Berkovich on 11 Feb 2005, 15:34

Felix K wrote:
Would US elections be fair if the entire Northeast could not vote?


So you are saying that, because the Northeast could vote, the vote was indeed fair? Surnami will be glad to hear you admit this :wink:

BTW, would the elections be unfair if instead of the Northeast, the Midwest could not vote? :D


Felix

Substitute Midwest or any other region of US in my sentence and it would still have the same meaning.

It's ok Leonid, Midwestern hicks and rednecks are just as American as you are. We love them too.
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Postby Eugene Berkovich on 11 Feb 2005, 15:36

Dean as a Dem. chairman should bring in some energy into the party. For far too long it had been led by the nameless functionaires.
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Postby Leonid on 11 Feb 2005, 16:16

Eugene

Thank you oh Intellectual one. I believe you're living in the wrong place, Montmartre would suit you much better, not to mention Cuba.

But we, Midwesterners, are tolerant folk and have enough stamina to endure you...for as long as we feel you're contained and reduced to a mere michael-moore-ward-churchill ankle-biting:)
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Postby Leonid on 11 Feb 2005, 16:30

We love Howard Dean, we absolutely do. Bring him on.

P.S. I suppose I missed Eugene calling Terry McAwful "nameless functionary" in all those years:)

As a matter of fact, Eugene was vigorously defending him when I opined that he's costing Dems dearly.

You may keep him as a honorary chairman:)
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Postby Falc on 11 Feb 2005, 19:07

Interesting Reading

The following is a blog maintained by an Iraqi woman who goes by the name Riverbend. You can get her take of the election, life in general and problems arising in the new Iraq. If you want to read other excerpts, the web site is http://riverbendblog.blogspot.com/

Saturday, February 12, 2005

And Life Goes On...

The elections have come and gone. The day of elections was a day of eerie silence punctuated by a few strong explosions and the hum of helicopters above. We remained at home and watched the situation on tv. E. left for about an hour to see what was happening at the local polling area, which was a secondary school nearby. He said there were maybe 50 people at the school and a lot of them looked like they were involved with the local electoral committee. The polling station near our house was actually being guarded by SCIRI people (Badir’s Brigade).

It was like an voting marathon for all of the news channels- everywhere you turned there was news of the elections. CNN, Euronews, BBC, Jazeera, Arabia, LBC… everyone was talking elections. The Arab news channels were focusing largely on voting abroad while CNN kept showing footage from the southern provinces and the northern ones.

I literally had chills going up and down my spine as I watched Abdul Aziz Al Hakeem of Iranian-inclined SCIRI dropping his ballot into a box. Behind him, giving moral support and her vote, was what I can only guess to be his wife. She was shrouded literally from head to foot and only her eyes peeped out of the endless sea of black. She stuffed her ballot in the box with black-gloved hands and submissively followed a very confident Hakeem. E. turned to me with a smile and a wink, “That might be you in a couple of years…” I promptly threw a sofa cushion at him.

Most of our acquaintances (Sunni and Shia) didn’t vote. My cousin, who is Shia, didn’t vote because he felt he didn’t really have ‘representation’ on the lists, as he called it. I laughed when he said that, “But you have your pick of at least 40 different Shia parties!” I teased, winking at his wife. I understood what he meant though. He’s a secular, educated, non-occupation Iraqi before he’s Sunni or Shia- he’s more concerned with having someone who wants to end the occupation than someone Shia.

We’re hearing about various strange happenings at different voting areas. They say that several areas in northern Iraq (some Assyrian and other Christian areas) weren’t allowed to vote. They also say that 300 different ballot boxes from all over the country were disqualified (mainly from Mosul) because a large number of the vote ballots had “Saddam” written on them. In other areas there’s talk of Badir’s Brigade people having bought the ballots to vote, and while the people of Falloojeh weren’t allowed to vote, people say that the identities of Falloojans were temporarily ‘borrowed’ for voting purposes. The stories are endless.

In spite of that, we’re all watching for the results carefully. When the ‘elected’ government takes control, will they set a timetable for American withdrawal? That would be a shocker considering none of the current parties would be able to remain in power without being forcefully backed by America with tanks and troops. We hear American politicians repeatedly saying that America will not withdraw until Iraq can secure itself. When will that happen? Our current National Guard or “Haress il Watani” are fondly called “Haress il Wathani” or “Infidel Guard” by people in the streets. On top of it all, to be one of them is considered such a disgrace by the general population that they have to wear masks so that none of them can be identified by neighbors and friends.

The results won’t really matter when so many people boycotted the elections. No matter what the number say, the reality of the situation is that there are millions of Iraqis who will refuse to submit to an occupation government. After almost two years of occupation, and miserable living conditions, we want our country back.

I do have my moments of weakness though, when I wonder who will be allowed to have power. Politicians are talking about a balance that might arise from a Shia, Kurdish alliance and it makes a lot of sense in theory. In theory, the Kurdish leaders are Sunni and secular and the Shia leaders are, well, they’re not exactly secular. If they get along, things should work out evenly. That looks good on blogs and on paper. Reality is quite different. Reality is that the Kurdish leaders are more concerned about their own autonomy and as long as the Kurdish north remains secular, the rest of Iraq can go up in flames.

An example is the situation in Baghdad today. The parties that have power in colleges today are actually the Iranian inclined Shia parties like Da’awa and SCIRI. Student representatives in colleges and universities these days mainly come from the abovementioned parties. They harass Christian and Muslim girls about what they should and shouldn’t wear. They invite students to attend “latmiyas” (mainly Shia religious festivities where the participants cry and beat themselves in sorrow over the killing of the Prophet’s family) and bully the cafeteria or canteen guy into not playing music during Ramadhan and instead showing the aforementioned latmiyas and Shia religious lectures by Ayatollah So-and-So and Sayid Something-or-Another.

Last week my cousin needed to visit the current Ministry of Higher Education. After the ministry building was burned and looted, the employees had to be transferred to a much, much smaller building in another part of the city. My cousin’s wife wanted to have her college degree legalized by the ministry and my cousin wasn’t sure about how to go about doing it. So I volunteered to go along with him because I had some questions of my own.

We headed for the building containing the ministry employees (but hardly ever containing the minister). It was small and cramped. Every 8 employees were stuck in the same room. The air was tense and heavy. We were greeted in the reception area by a bearded man who scanned us disapprovingly. “Da’awachi,” my cousin whispered under his breath, indicating the man was from the Da’awa Party. What could he do for us? Who did we want? We wanted to have some documents legalized by the ministry, I said loudly, trying to cover up my nervousness. He looked at me momentarily and then turned to the cousin pointedly. My cousin repeated why we were there and asked for directions. We were told to go to one of the rooms on the same floor and begin there.

“Please dress appropriately next time you come here.” The man said to me. I looked down at what I was wearing- black pants, a beige high-necked sweater and a knee-length black coat. Huh? I blushed furiously. He meant my head should be covered and I should be wearing a skirt. I don’t like being told what to wear and what not to wear by strange men. “I don’t work here- I don’t have to follow a dress code.” I answered coldly. The cousin didn’t like where the conversation was going, he angrily interceded, “We’re only here for an hour and it really isn’t your business.”

“It is my business.” Came the answer, “She should have some respect for the people who work here.” And the conversation ended. I looked around for the people I should be respecting. There were three or four women who were apparently ministry employees. Two of them were wearing long skirts, loose sweaters and headscarves and the third had gone all out and was wearing a complete “jubba” or robe-like garb topped with a black head scarf. My cousin and I turned to enter the room the receptionist had indicated and my eyes were stinging. No one could talk that way before the war and if they did, you didn’t have to listen. You could answer back. Now, you only answer back and make it an issue if you have some sort of death wish or just really, really like trouble.

Young females have the option of either just giving in to the pressure and dressing and acting ‘safely’- which means making everything longer and looser and preferably covering some of their head or constantly being defiant to what is becoming endemic in Iraq today. The problem with defiance is that it doesn’t just involve you personally, it involves anyone with you at that moment- usually a male relative. It means that there might be an exchange of ugly words or a fight and probably, after that, a detention in Abu Ghraib.

If it’s like this in Baghdad, I shudder to think what the other cities and provinces must be like. The Allawis and Pachichis of Iraq don’t sense it- their families are safely tucked away in Dubai and Amman, and the Hakeems and Jaffaris of Iraq promote it.

At the end of the day, it’s not about having a Sunni or Shia or Kurd or Arab in power. It’s about having someone who has Iraq’s best interests at heart- not America’s, not Iran’s, not Israel’s… It’s about needing someone who wants peace, prosperity, independence and above and beyond all, unity.

- posted by river @ 12:41 AM
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Postby Eugene Berkovich on 15 Feb 2005, 11:59

Leonid wrote:We love Howard Dean, we absolutely do. Bring him on.

P.S. I suppose I missed Eugene calling Terry McAwful "nameless functionary" in all those years:)

As a matter of fact, Eugene was vigorously defending him when I opined that he's costing Dems dearly.

You may keep him as a honorary chairman:)


I suppose you have any proof to support the above dribble? I never cared about McAuliffe. He was exactly as I suggested a "nameless functionairy".

And, mind you, the Midwesterners must have quite a thick skin if they tolerate you.
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Postby Leonid on 15 Feb 2005, 19:18

Good point...Why would I be tolerated anywhere, according to Howard Dean "Republicans burn books" - LOL

"In a strong show of support for former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, 100% of likely Republican voters approve of Dr. Dean’s selection as Democratic Party chairman, a new survey indicates. ...

At DNC headquarters, the former Vermont Governor said that he was “heartened” by the poll results .... Dr. Dean added that he ultimately had the ability to appeal to all Americans, Republicans and Democrats alike: “I may be from a blue state, but once I start talking my face gets really, really red.”

Stephen Bainbridge, corporate law professor at UCLA.
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Postby Eugene Berkovich on 01 Mar 2005, 16:50

One does not have to be tolerated.

Bush is still in the Oval Office, regardless of how intolerant of him I am.
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Postby Leonid on 04 Mar 2005, 19:50

What have the Americans ever done for us? Liberated 50 million people...

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0, ... 03,00.html
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Postby surnami on 04 Mar 2005, 20:26

It's scary for Democrats, I have to say....There's always hope that this might not work.



-- Nancy Soderberg, author of The Superpower Myth, on the reform sweeping the Middle East.

:o :o :roll:

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Postby surnami on 04 Mar 2005, 20:43

:!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!: :!:

Stewart: This book--it talks about the superpower myth of the United States. There is this idea, the United States is the sole superpower, and I guess the premise of the book is we cannot misuse that power--have to use it wisely, and not just punitively. Is that--

Soderberg: That's right. What I argue is that the Bush administration fell hostage to the superpower myth, believing that because we're the most powerful nation on earth, we were all-powerful, could bend the world to our will and not have to worry about the rest of the world. I think what they're finding in the second term is, it's a little bit harder than that, and reality has an annoying way of intruding.

Stewart: But what do you make of--here's my dilemma, if you will. I don't care for the way these guys conduct themselves--and this is just you and I talking, no cameras here [audience laughter]. But boy, when you see the Lebanese take to the streets and all that, and you go, "Oh my God, this is working," and I begin to wonder, is it--is the way that they handled it really--it's sort of like, "Uh, OK, my daddy hits me, but look how tough I'm getting." You know what I mean? Like, you don't like the method, but maybe--wrong analogy, is that, uh--?

Soderberg: Well, I think, you know, as a Democrat, you don't want anything nice to happen to the Republicans, and you don't want them to have progress. But as an American, you hope good things would happen. I think the way to look at it is, they can't credit for every good thing that happens, but they need to be able to manage it. I think what's happening in Lebanon is great, but it's not necessarily directly related to the fact that we went into Iraq militarily.

Stewart: Do you think that the people of Lebanon would have had, sort of, the courage of their conviction, having not seen--not only the invasion but the election which followed? It's almost as though that the Iraqi election has emboldened this crazy--something's going on over there. I'm smelling something.

Soderberg: I think partly what's going on is the country next door, Syria, has been controlling them for decades, and they [the Syrians] were dumb enough to blow up the former prime minister of Lebanon in Beirut, and they're--people are sort of sick of that, and saying, "Wait a minute, that's a stretch too far." So part of what's going on is they're just protesting that. But I think there is a wave of change going on, and if we can help ride it though the second term of the Bush administration, more power to them.

Stewart: Do you think they're the guys to--do they understand what they've unleashed? Because at a certain point, I almost feel like, if they had just come out at the very beginning and said, "Here's my plan: I'm going to invade Iraq. We'll get rid of a bad guy because that will drain the swamp"--if they hadn't done the whole "nuclear cloud," you know, if they hadn't scared the pants off of everybody, and just said straight up, honestly, what was going on, I think I'd almost--I'd have no cognitive dissonance, no mixed feelings.

Soderberg: The truth always helps in these things, I have to say. But I think that there is also going on in the Middle East peace process--they may well have a chance to do a historic deal with the Palestinians and the Israelis. These guys could really pull off a whole--

Stewart: This could be unbelievable!

Soderberg:---series of Nobel Peace Prizes here, which--it may well work. I think that, um, it's--

Stewart: [buries head in hands] Oh my God! [audience laughter] He's got, you know, here's--

Soderberg: It's scary for Democrats, I have to say.

Stewart: He's gonna be a great--pretty soon, Republicans are gonna be like, "Reagan was nothing compared to this guy." Like, my kid's gonna go to a high school named after him, I just know it.

Soderberg: Well, there's still Iran and North Korea, don't forget. There's hope for the rest of us.

Stewart: [crossing fingers] Iran and North Korea, that's true, that is true [audience laughter]. No, it's--it is--I absolutely agree with you, this is--this is the most difficult thing for me to--because, I think, I don't care for the tactics, I don't care for this, the weird arrogance, the setting up. But I gotta say, I haven't seen results like this ever in that region.

Soderberg: Well wait. It hasn't actually gotten very far. I mean, we've had--

Stewart: Oh, I'm shallow! I'm very shallow!

Soderberg: There's always hope that this might not work. No, but I think, um, it's--you know, you have changes going on in Egypt; Saudi Arabia finally had a few votes, although women couldn't participate. What's going on here in--you know, Syria's been living in the 1960s since the 1960s--it's, part of this is--

Stewart: You mean free love and that kind of stuff? [audience laughter] Like, free love, drugs?

Soderberg: If you're a terrorist, yeah.

Stewart: They are Baathists, are they--it looks like, I gotta say, it's almost like we're not going to have to invade Iran and Syria. They're gonna invade themselves at a certain point, no? Or is that completely naive?

Soderberg: I think it's moving in the right direction. I'll have to give them credit for that. We'll see.

Stewart: Really? Hummus for everybody, for God's sakes.



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Postby mate on 05 Mar 2005, 01:34

Mr. Boye

Don't take the following as an advocacy of the neocon movement. However, understand that many well meaning and reasoned people, regardless of what the neocons promote, see some value and hope in the idea that the middle-east could be changed through democracy.

Read on:

http://www.latimes.com/news/printeditio ... &cset=true

It would be the height of hubris to claim that all these developments are due to U.S. action alone. Pressure has been building up in the Middle East pressure cooker for decades; the long-suffering people of the region do not need any outside prompting to list a long litany of grievances against their dysfunctional governments. But it was the invasion of Iraq and the subsequent democratic elections there that blew the lid off the region.

"It's strange for me to say it," says Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, who would never be mistaken for a Bush backer, "but this process of change has started because of the American invasion of Iraq."

"Now with the new Bush administration," confirms former Lebanese President Amin Gemayel, "we feel a stronger determination in liberating Lebanon and in promoting democracy in the Middle East."

Maybe, just maybe, those neocons weren't so nutty after all.


Boye, it might yet be that the US loses the fight in Iraq. There remain many challenges, not least those posed by legions of deliberately malicious anti-American European elites and their banal cafe chattering street masses. There are a good number of malcontents here in the US as well, although they have been given pause, fearful that democracy actually might take hold in the middle-east...that they will be revealed to be as impotently shrill and irrelevant as ever.

Nevertheless, I am comforted that my faith in the collective leadership and democratic institutions of this country has been vindicated. Sure, I didn't agree with everything done by Bush, especially with regards to operational and diplomatic failures in the Iraqi war. But I know we meant well...that this was about security, about giving people a value proposition so that they wouldn't explicitly or implicitly support terrorism.

I said from the outset that the primary intent of invading Iraq was to break the middle-east of authorianism and radicalism by establishing a democratic beach-head in the region.

I don't suppose some of you here remember those conversations?

:roll:

Ah, Herr Boye!
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Postby Leonid on 08 Mar 2005, 07:37

Instapundit

Michael Totten observes:

Sorry, I don't mean to gloat, and I shouldn't. It's still possible that the whole thing will blow up in our faces and I'll be the one who has to eat crow. I don't think it will turn out that way, but I don't know that it won't. Nobody does.

What I find interesting here is that this shows the foresight of historians like Victor Davis Hanson. He has long argued that we should stop worrying about anti-American and anti-war jackassery and just win the damn war. If things work out in Iraq and the Middle East, he's been saying, opposition to the U.S. and the war will largely evaporate. I have had my doubts about that since the opposition is often so reactionary and toxic. But this definitely belongs in his evidence column.


Indeed.

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Postby Eugene Berkovich on 15 Mar 2005, 11:04

How can any positive stirrings in the Middle East be attributed to Bush?

1. Improvement in Palestine? What event can this be attributed more to than Arafat's death?

2. Syrian pullout from Lebanon? What event can this be attributed more to than the assassination of Hariri?

3. Iraq... Wait, what positive stirrings?????
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Postby mate on 15 Mar 2005, 22:22

Eugene

Read the following and you might glean a thing or two on giving credit where credit is due.

http://slate.msn.com/id/2114260/nav/ais/

It's a huge stretch to view these uprisings as a seamless wave of democracy; but it would go too far in the other direction to see them as strictly discrete events, each unrelated to the other. The evidence suggests that we're seeing at least a stream of wavelets; that the participants in one country have been inspired to take action, at least in part, by the example of participants in other countries. And therefore, the inference can be drawn, still others, elsewhere, might be inspired to take similar actions, or make similar demands, in the weeks and months ahead.

Finally, while it's absurd to think that Bush set the upheavals of '05 in motion, it's churlish not to grant him any credit at all. If nothing else, it's an inspiring thing to see the United States standing on the side of national self-determination. It hasn't happened very often in the past 60 years, unless anticommunism was at stake. John Kerry would be commended for it if he were president; George W. Bush should be, too.


Damn but I what I wouldn't give to have you in a situation where your fate depended on your choice of standing up for the US or in promoting some quasi-leftist anti-American drivel. I am fairly confident even somebody as reflexively ignorant as you would have the common sense to be judicious in a matter of life and death.
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Postby Eugene Berkovich on 23 Mar 2005, 10:04

mate wrote:Eugene

Read the following and you might glean a thing or two on giving credit where credit is due.

http://slate.msn.com/id/2114260/nav/ais/

It's a huge stretch to view these uprisings as a seamless wave of democracy; but it would go too far in the other direction to see them as strictly discrete events, each unrelated to the other. The evidence suggests that we're seeing at least a stream of wavelets; that the participants in one country have been inspired to take action, at least in part, by the example of participants in other countries. And therefore, the inference can be drawn, still others, elsewhere, might be inspired to take similar actions, or make similar demands, in the weeks and months ahead.

Finally, while it's absurd to think that Bush set the upheavals of '05 in motion, it's churlish not to grant him any credit at all. If nothing else, it's an inspiring thing to see the United States standing on the side of national self-determination. It hasn't happened very often in the past 60 years, unless anticommunism was at stake. John Kerry would be commended for it if he were president; George W. Bush should be, too.


Damn but I what I wouldn't give to have you in a situation where your fate depended on your choice of standing up for the US or in promoting some quasi-leftist anti-American drivel. I am fairly confident even somebody as reflexively ignorant as you would have the common sense to be judicious in a matter of life and death.


What evidence? Are you using "Slate" as evidence.

Now, tell me, what happens in Lebanon TODAY, if Hariri is not assassinated.

Quasi-leftist Anti-American drivel? Hmmm. Interesting, I wonder if an objective reporting of the events has become such?

Oh, I know, since it is not brought upon our TV screens by the "White House reporters" it must be the aforementioned "Quasi-leftist Anti-American drivel".

I think that is a further exposition (not that anyone needed any more proof) of your total lack of ability to analyze the current events. Come on, I do not know any other person whose supposed evidence, as poor as it is, actually gives so much ammunition to the other side

P.S. The fact that your command of past events has been murky at best is no longer a secret to anybody
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Postby Leonid on 28 Mar 2005, 10:32

The Wall Street Journal

Muscular Utopianism

By DAVID RIEFF
March 28, 2005

In his 2005 State of the Union address, President Bush spoke of America's "generational commitment to the advance of freedom," and predicted that "the victory of freedom in Iraq [would] inspire democratic reformers from Damascus to Tehran." These were sweeping claims, but in the wake of the Iraqi elections and the massive anti-Syrian mobilization in Lebanon even many erstwhile opponents of the war and skeptics about American motives in the Middle East, from Sen. Ted Kennedy to Piero Fassino, the head of one of Italy's main left-wing parties, have conceded that the Bush administration has been proven correct in its fundamental approach. Only within two constituencies, the extreme left and the so-called realists (many of whom served in President Bush's father's administration), has skepticism about both the wisdom of U.S. involvement in Iraq and the prospects for American success continued to predominate.

As someone who in the 1990s would probably have called himself a liberal interventionist, and who has come increasingly aligned with the realist position, I am well aware that this is not a moment when critiques of the triumphalist account of what American power has wrought in the world is likely to win many converts. When James P. Rubin, the spokesman in the Clinton-era State Department, then an adviser to Sen. John Kerry, and a rising star in the Democratic foreign policy establishment, can write a recent op-ed in the New York Times not just supporting Paul Wolfowitz's nomination as World Bank president but basically endorsing the Bush administration's project of "democratizing" the world, it is not difficult to see, as the Star Wars phrase goes, whose side the Force is on.

Indeed, the cave-in of the Democrats is hardly surprising. After all, it was Madeleine Albright, and not some neoconservative in the Bush administration, who insisted that the U.S. would act "with allies if possible, alone when necessary." And it is former U.S. permanent representative to the United Nations, Richard Holbrooke, who has argued repeatedly and eloquently for the need for U.S. military interventions to right certain human rights wrongs. And it has been liberal interventionist intellectuals like Michael Ignatieff and Samantha Power who have, in effect, argued, to use the phrase British Prime Minister Tony Blair did at the time of the Kosovo intervention, for wars based on "values not interests."

Nor are the Bush administration's arguments about political stability, respect for human rights, and economic prosperity being the byproduct of democracy somehow outside the mainstream. To the contrary, they are at the core of the theories of the single most respected liberal economist in the world today, Amartya Sen. So, if anything, the liberal interventionist critics of the administration probably have more in common with this kind of armed democracy-building than they would ever be comfortable admitting on matters of principle, if not on the details of how these policies should be implemented, what role should be assigned to the use of force, to multilateralism, international legal regimes, the U.N., and a host of other concerns.

In other words, if the contest is between different forms of commitment to interventionism in the name of democracy, liberal capitalism, the rule of law, and human rights, it seems obvious that the administration has the more consistent argument (though cynics can of course debate their sincerity). After all, it is rather difficult to claim that it was a good thing to overthrow Slobodan Milosevic, and that there should be an intervention in Darfur, but that somehow Saddam Hussein was off limits. In the battle between the muscular utopianism of the right and the pale utopianism of the left, there really isn't much of a contest.

And yet, it is precisely the utopianism of this interventionist project, whether defined in Richard Holbrooke's terms or Paul Wolfowitz's, that has led me at least to a re-education in realism. These doubts have two sources: the actual degree of success the U.S. has attained in Iraq and in the Middle East, and, far more importantly, the wisdom of such engagements, whether or not they succeed.

First, a little proportion about Iraq. Even those who view the country's progress from the most optimistic perspective tend to unite in crediting Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the spiritual leader of Iraq's majority Shiites, with having held the country together and used his commanding authority to legitimize January's democratic elections. Ayatollah Sistani's own medieval views on subjects ranging from Sharia law to the status of women are presented as being of little concern. "You can't get to Thomas Jefferson without first having Martin Luther," is the way the conservative Middle Eastern specialist, Reuel Marc Gerecht, once put it to me.

Historical analogies (and their 300-year lag times) aside, there is at least as compelling an alternate scenario: That what Ayatollah Sistani has done is used the democratic process to secure power for the Shiite community. In other words, that it is less that he and his fellow ayatollahs in Najaf share Washington's project of democratizing the Middle East so much as the Bush administration's commitment to initiate the vast project of a social transformation of a whole region by force of arms happened to dovetail with Shiite political ambitions and that the moment these interests no longer dovetail, it will become clear what kind of Iraqi society American blood and treasure has really brought into being. And that is assuming the war against the insurgency really is being won: The fact that two years after Saddam Hussein's fall the road to the Baghdad airport is still not fully controlled by U.S. forces and Iraq is still importing oil suggests that the outcome is still very much in doubt.

Beyond Iraq, on the broader Middle East, there are also real questions about whether Lebanon is headed for democracy or civil war, and whether the Israeli withdrawal from Gaza will lead to peace or a carve-up of the West Bank that will make a third intifada a virtual certainty in the not too distant future.

But even if all these outcomes are more positive than I expect them to be, after prolonged stays both in Israel-Palestine and postwar Iraq, there is the more fundamental question of whether this "generational commitment to the advance of freedom," to which the Bush administration has committed the country, is a wise or a feasible course. Does the lack of democracy in the world really pose the kind of existential threat to the U.S. that most Americans believed the Soviet empire did during the Cold War? And even if it does, do we really have the wisdom to change the world, or, as President Bush has put it, "to spread the peace that freedom brings?"

I take the administration at its word that this is the new project for America in the world. But to me, both the "hard Wilsonians" of the Bush administration, to use the name coined by the Council on Foreign Relations' Max Boot, and their liberal interventionist interlocutors are suffering from a terrible hubris, a terrible utopianism about not just the use of force, but about the promise of democracy itself. The right at least used to scorn utopianism, as a folly of liberalism and the left. Communism, it was said, taught one where utopianism led. And yet, what has the administration's policy been if not utopian?

Presume, for a moment, that we don't have the wisdom to transform foreign societies. Suddenly, the world looks very different and our actions -- even presuming the most idealistic motivation for them -- have a very different, much more dangerous, and certainly much less exalting resonance. President Bush has said that, in order to protect freedom at home, we must, in effect, go abroad to create freedom. That is, and doubtless will remain, American policy for the foreseeable future. But if it goes wrong, as I desperately fear that it will, perhaps John Quincy Adams's words in his Independence Day speech of 1821 will resonate once more. "Once enlisting under other banners, were they even the banners of foreign independence, [America] would involve herself beyond the power of extrication, in all the wars of interest and intrigue, of individual avarice, envy, and ambition, which assumes the colors and usurp the standard of freedom. The fundamental maxims of her policy would insensibly change from liberty to force."

Mr. Rieff is the author, most recently, of "At the Point of a Gun: Democratic Dreams and Armed Intervention," just out from Simon & Schuster.
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Postby Boye B on 28 Mar 2005, 22:59

Mate:

I said from the outset that the primary intent of invading Iraq was to break the middle-east of authorianism and radicalism by establishing a democratic beach-head in the region.

I don't suppose some of you here remember those conversations?


Sorry for not replying sooner. I must have missed that post earlier.

Anyway, yes, I remember those conversations. And as I have already conceded that the Iraq war has produced some positive results, I have no problems conceding that it may have contributed to adding pressure for democratic reform elsewhere in the Middle East.

However, I refuse to accept that the primary intent of invading Iraq was to establish a democratic beach-head in the region. It may have been considered a positive side-effect adding weight to the self-justification of the war for Bush and his administration, but if, as per our previous conversation, Bush really believed Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, then ridding the country of those weapons was the primary intent. Another likely primary intent was to remove Saddam Hussein - a dictator hostile to the USA and leader of one of the countries in the 'Axis of Evil' - from power.
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